|Francisco Liriano has allowed|
0.3 home runs per nine innings
There's always a risk in that — the risk that events between the writing and the publication will make the writer appear at least a bit foolish.
So naturally, the Twins' big three of Francisco Liriano, Carl Pavano and Brian Duensing, pitching Friday-Sunday, combined for three poor statistical starts:
- Liriano allowed a home run and more fly balls than grounders; he got just nine outs.
- Pavano surrendered three longballs (and seven runs on 11 hits) in four innings.
- Duensing walked four men and allowed two homers, five runs.
Does this undermine my thesis? Not really.
- Liriano's outing I discount because of his illness.
- Pavano's I discount because his start was pushed back eight days to set up the playoff rotation.
- Duensing's line would look markedly better if Danny Valencia — who had an atrocious series defensively in Detroit — had made a clean play on a likely double-play grounder; he got an out, so there was no error, but the extra out set up the first, three-run, homer off Duensing.
All three figure to get another start in the regular season; this might be particularly important for getting Pavano back into his regular routine. Certainly all three need to pitch more effectively once the calendar page is turned.