Presumed regular: Eddie Rosario
Others on 40: Jake Cave, Zack Granite, LaMonte Wade, Michael Hall
Notable nonroster: None
This may be the spot at which the Twins can have the most confidence in what they're going to get. Rosario isn't as good as the "Minnie and Paul" promo ad last summer claimed ("one of the best outfielders in the league," I believe it called him), but he's certainly a productive, useful player.
What Rosario needs to be a real star, the kind of hitter you can build a productive lineup around, is better strike zone judgment. He took a big step forward in that department two seasons ago, but plateaued last season. As long as he's drawing 33 walks and fanning 105 times a year, his on-base percentages will never be particularly good.
Turn another 15 outs into walks or hits, now you have a guy who can belong at the top of the order. Find another five extra-base hits a year, now you have a guy who can belong in the middle of the lineup. Right now, Rosario's just a bit shy both ways. Almost there, not quite.
Maybe I'm picking nits. He is, as it stands, a quality supporting piece. And that's what I expected him to be when he was coming through the minors. Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano were supposed to be the stars. Rosario is probably the best all-round position player on this roster. It's OK to want a bit more from him; his shortcomings are not why this team failed in 2018.
Showing posts with label left field. Show all posts
Showing posts with label left field. Show all posts
Friday, January 18, 2019
Monday, July 13, 2015
Contemplating the left field situation
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| This swing looks awkward, but Eddie Rosario got a double out of it at Kansas City. |
Well, we're at the All-Star break, and Eddie Rosario is now listed as the primary left fielder.
Primary, not regular. Molitor has divvied up playing time in left field to a high degree. Rosario has just three more starts and less than 40 innings more than Escobar. Five players have gotten starts in left, and four of them have more than a dozen (the other two being Shane Robinson and Oswaldo Arcia).
Arcia, of course, opened the season as the regular left fielder. He got hurt and then was optioned out to Triple A Rochester, where he has been on a home-run binge for about a week and a half. Still, he doesn't appear to be on the verge of recall. His flaws -- bad to horrid outfield defense, problems with left-handed pitching -- remain. I think he's more likely to be traded this month than returned to Minnesota.
Which is, in the abstract, fine by me. (What the return is in such a trade is, of course, the key to whether trading him is a good idea.) I have been claiming for months that outfield defense is a key aspect to the Twins' surprising rise in the standings, and playing both Arcia and Torii Hunter in the outfield corners is detrimental to the outfield defense. Rosario is a much better fielder than either.
But the superior defense comes at a price. While Rosario's batting average (.279) looks good, he has taken just eight walks, so his on-base percentage is barely above .300. He doesn't have Arcia's power either, and his OPS+ -- On base Plus Slugging in the context of league and home field -- is a mere 93, 7 percent below average. And while Molitor may talk up Rosario to the broadcasters as a hitter against left-handers, the early returns on him don't back it up (.239/.294/.304 in his first 52 plate appearances versus southpaws).
This summer's theme of the tension between contention and transition is well illustrated by Rosario's playing time. Keeping Rosario in the lineup is obviously good for his development. But it also probably means having a below-average bat at a position usually counted on for hitting. Rosario has spent a good deal of time hitting fifth, which is not ideal for him or the team.
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