tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7195084204316698108.post6240482402021913098..comments2024-02-19T07:12:32.248-06:00Comments on Baseball Outsider: Draft, day 3: Follow the moneyEdward Thomahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10769979703606661737noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7195084204316698108.post-62249674598431872302012-06-09T08:14:48.242-05:002012-06-09T08:14:48.242-05:00There is no bonus for singing. :) I think mid- 4 d...There is no bonus for singing. :) I think mid- 4 digits for signing.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7195084204316698108.post-44897587416908348872012-06-07T13:25:44.600-05:002012-06-07T13:25:44.600-05:00My nephew was drafted in the 24th round. What if ...My nephew was drafted in the 24th round. What if any singing bonus should he expectAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7195084204316698108.post-89097004743374364252012-06-06T10:23:35.894-05:002012-06-06T10:23:35.894-05:00"There ARE going to be guys taken in the firs..."There ARE going to be guys taken in the first 10 rounds who will be signed now and released next spring."<br /><br />I doubt it. There are plenty of players taken to fill out minor league rosters who get next to nothing as a bonus for signing. Why would they pay anything to a guy they had no use for?<br /><br />Sixth round choice slots are $200,000 or less. The Twins number 9 choice in 2011 got $25,000 as a bonus. Guys in the late rounds may get $5000. You don't need to draft "non-prospects" in order to get low budget players.<br /><br />I am doubtful any team is going to toss its entire slot budget at one player. There are too many examples of "sure things" that failed to live up to their expectations.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7195084204316698108.post-63863864696125118642012-06-06T08:39:12.245-05:002012-06-06T08:39:12.245-05:00Those off-the-top of my head numbers could have be...Those off-the-top of my head numbers could have been chosen more carefully, but it's possible that somebody will (if not now, in a future draft) do just that.<br /><br />Consider a team that finds a legitimate top-of-the-draft talent falls to it in the middle of the first round. (Happened at least twice this year, with Appel and Lucas Giolito.) Say the team has $6.5 million in its bonus pool. It's not mathematically possible to get Appel even the $6 million he turned down, but if you squeeze the rest of your picks sufficiently you can get to $5 million, and that might sign him.<br /><br />Of course, you'll have punted the rest of the first 10 rounds. Appel's talent probably doesn't justify that. Giolito's might. Bryan Harper's probably does.<br /><br />There ARE going to be guys taken in the first 10 rounds who will be signed now and released next spring. There WERE true non-prospects taken in Rounds 6-10 in particular. This is beyond signability.Edward Thomahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10769979703606661737noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7195084204316698108.post-71958912366317336102012-06-06T07:34:43.944-05:002012-06-06T07:34:43.944-05:00"Say the slot was valued at $700,000; the tea..."Say the slot was valued at $700,000; the team tells the player: We'll take you IF you'll sign for $150,000. "<br /><br />A slot value of $700,000 would be a second round pick. It is highly unlikely anyone is doing that with a pick that high. And the $550,000 "saved" in that example would allow them to pay a kid taken later $650,000 dollars. If he would have signed for that, they would have just taken him and used the $50,000 saved on someone else who they wouldn't have been able to sign at all otherwise.<br /><br />I am sure signability is an issue and there are players who were taken who will sign below slot. But I doubt teams are taking low budget ringers with high draft choices. Instead these are players who are legitimate choices with signability a factor, as it is in any choice.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com